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华尔街私募之王警告:新迷失传奇福利服兴经济体复苏难上加难 现在抄底为时过早(4)

在其他领域,比如酒店,人们旅行的次数少了,入住率也低了很多。人们没有进行看电影这样的室内休闲活动,因为他们害怕坐在他们旁边的人不会保护得那么好,这可能会感染他们。所以会有保持距离就坐,但是如果在一个地方没有很多人,这个组织就赚不了多少钱。事实上,他们可能会赔钱。

Question: Few industries can avoid being impacted. In your opinion, which industry will suffer most? Who will be the winners in a post-pandemic economy?

在中国,有大量的网上订购和送货上门。我们在世界各地发现,这给购物中心带来了巨大的压力,因为零售商们无力支付房租而面临倒闭。因此,整个行业都会受到影响。

这本书将帮助你在不确定和犹豫时找到方向,如果我是你,我会购买并阅读它。令很多人感到惊讶的是,这其实是一本很有趣的书,像惊悚片一样引人入胜,所以读起来很快。

中国是非常有趣的,因为它不是一个真正的新兴市场经济体,它已经是成熟经济体了,世人几乎都认为中国已经是成熟经济体了。

Here is a copy of the book. It's number one in China and a bestseller in the United States and around the rest of the world. It's great to be with you here today.

The virus and its impact is absolutely unprecedented. In the last hundred years, no one knew anything even vaguely like this will have unemployment levels that will be close to the Great Depression of the 1930s. And it was all done voluntarily.

Question: COVID-19 is putting the global economy into a tailspin. Many countries are heading for very sudden and unprecedented recessions. Do you expect to see major changes in a post-pandemic economy?

On the other hand, it has left the economies of the world in an exceptionally difficult position – very high unemployment, a lot of businesses closed voluntarily or involuntary, businesses have collapsed. How you restart that economy around the world is an issue that we're just starting to face.

全球范围来看,新冠疫情影响是前所未有的,病毒导致了接近1930年代大萧条时的高失业率,苏世民看来,与从前金融危机时期不同的是,疫情下的失业更是主动权衡后的结果,为了保护全世界的公民免受新冠病毒肆虐的侵害,经济不得不为健康做出了让步,停滞的生产导致高失业率的发生。

如果你是我这个年纪的人,你会把它推荐给你的孩子。如果你是我孩子的年龄,你会推荐给你的孩子,因为每个人都会从中学习,总有人要当老师。

First, China was the first to deal with this issue.

但它不会马上恢复到最初的水平,这很正常。大多数人希望它更快,但情况未必总能如愿。但我认为在中国,恢复到正常的水平会比其他经济体更迅速。

首先,中国是第一个应对这个问题的国家。

Remember, there are more billionaires in China than any other place in the world. And 40 years ago, the average person had an income of only $300 a year, which I guess now is somewhere around 2,000 yuan a year. To have more billionaires than any other country.

我认为,就受影响最严重的行业而言,石油和天然气行业目前处于困境。因为全球每年大约消耗1000亿桶石油,而石油产量也大致如此。人们呆在家里,工厂关闭,导致对石油的需求下降了至少2500万桶。所以有2500万桶的产能过剩,这导致利润下降,而石油的消耗是不够的。

病毒引发高失业率:不是意外,为了健康不得不如此

Less concerned in China because the numbers have been suppressed in terms of communicable nature and there are very few people who are getting newly infected with the virus. So there's a lot of reason, I think, to be optimistic about China's prospects.

如果全球经济增长越来越缓慢,那么新兴市场国家就会变得越来越困难。如果他们以硬通货形式持有借来的钱,他们自己的货币就会因为经济疲软而贬值。因此,对新兴市场经济体来说,这应该是一段艰难的时期。

新兴经济体复苏难上加难 现在抄底为时尚早

China is very interesting because it's not really an emerging market economy. It's emerged. Everybody in the world knows, China has emerged.

问:新冠疫情正在让全球经济陷入混乱,迷失传奇BT页游私服,许多国家正面临非常突然和前所未有的衰退,您认为病毒大流行后的经济会有重大变化吗?

这本书在中国的图书榜排名第一,在美国和世界其他地区也都是畅销书。我很高兴今天有这个机会和大家连线。

As you know, in China, there's a huge amount of ordering on the Internet and delivery to your homes. What we're finding around the world is this is putting enormous pressure on shopping malls because retailers are going out of business and they can't pay the rent. So there’s a whole complex of industries that will be hurt.

华尔街私募之王警告:新迷失传奇福利服兴经济体复苏难上加难 现在抄底为时过早

华尔街私募之王警告:新迷失传奇福利服兴经济体复苏难上加难 现在抄底为时过早

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